Monday, February 28, 2011
Today's data 2011-02-28 (good data)
Pending home sales declined for the second month in a row in January by 2.8% after a downwardly revised 3.2% decrease in December. The reading came in near expectations, and it is 1.5% lower than the January 2010 reading . However, such sales are more than 20.0% higher than the low point in June 2010.
The Chicago business barometer exceeded expectations, increasing to 71.2 in February, compared with 68.8 in January. Economists had predicted a reading of 67.7. Production drove the increase as the February figure nearly missed the 71.5 mark, last seen in July 1988.
Meanwhile, the National Association for Business Economics' released the results of its February survey of economists. They suggest that real gross domestic product will increase 3.3% in 2011, compared with the 2.6% increase predicted in November. The surveyed economists also expect monthly payrolls to gradually improve, but it likely won't be enoug h to pull the unemployment rate below 9.0%.
(Data looks good. Everything looks claimed down. everything look normal. market is slight up. )
we are waiting for the result/deal of god cut. the deadline is March 4th this friday. looks very close to us.
Friday, February 25, 2011
声明一下: 近期的个人看法 (1320-1400)
至于低于1280的概率真的不大。
1320 应该是个可上可下地位置, 一定要保持适当, 40-50%以上的股票长仓。
就像我们前一两个礼拜说的, 今年上1400是非常容易和铁板钉钉的事情。
4月前高于1340购入就要比较小心谨慎, 因为你能买更低。
所以1320仍然是一个很好地入点。 至于你能买更低,就看你的能力和耐力了。
仍像以前讲的1280基本上 就是 all in的位置。 今年低于1280的天数应该低于你手指的个数。
这个我们以前就讨论过。 低于1280, 想都不想, 就梭了。
Today's data 2011-02-25(bad news)
Consumers are feeling more optimistic about the economy according to the Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. The index rose to 77.5 for the end of February , the highest reading in three years, from 75.1 in the preliminary February survey. Households remain concerned about inflation, with the one-year inflation expectation reading coming in at 3.4%.
it's not that Bad to bears. you still have tons of change to load below 1320.
Thursday, February 24, 2011
Today's data 2011-02-24(mixed)
Initial jobless claims declined by 22,000 to 391,000 for the week ended Feb. 19. The drop was larger than economists expected and represents the second time this month that claims have fallen below 400,000. Although the economy is picking up, the Federal Reserve expects the unemployment rate to remain high until the end of 2011. Missouri had the largest rise in claims, while Pennsylvania saw the largest decline.
Sales for new homes dropped 12.6% to a seasonally adjusted rate of 284,000 in January, according to the Commerce Department. Economists had predicted sales rates would decline 8.8%. Last year was the worst year in new home sales on record, and the housing market continues to struggle because of high unemployment and foreclosures. Although the slight decline in prices have made hou sing more affordable, an extended decline could fuel a market slump.
(positive U.S. economic data, but house data is not that good.
market continue on its bear side)
today is not that import, it's keeping the downside trend. almost on this firday, the bear should show its power, also The bull is not easy to take over the market before we have a deal for god cut or 2012 国民预算。
it's my personal opinion. downside is keeping well and will continue maybe on next week.

Wednesday, February 23, 2011
Today's data 2011-02-23 (Good) 血染的风彩
(good news today. but market will ignore it anyway. )
investors remain concerned about ongoing political strife overseas, particularly in Libya, thus leading to an equity sell-off. Retailers continue to report earnings this week, with mixed results.
-- 这些影响比较大,不过回调地主因是:今年的上涨有点crazy and ridiculous. 经过从1340到1300的回调, 购入的外部基本上已经符合。 如果股票持仓位过低, 可以buy on any dip right now.
从一,二月份经济和消费信心指数来看, 今年1400 is very very easy to be achieved.

Tuesday, February 22, 2011
What do you think tomorrow ?
- Stocks: Worst drop of the year
- Delay on debt ceiling comes at a cost
- 'Substantial risk' of 25% drop in housing
- HP shares sink 10% on disappointing outlook
- Barnes & Noble tanks on dividend cut, earnings
- N.J. governor: Workers to foot more costs
- Amazon takes on Netflix with free streaming
- Alibaba's CEO had to goFortune
- Oil prices surge on supply worries
- Fear index jumps 28% on Libya turmoil
- Should you pay off the house?
- America's most durable brands and logos
today's Data 2011-02-20 (news is bad)血洗股市
Single-family home prices decreased by 1.0% in December, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index. This is the fifth consecutive monthly decline, and prices have gone down 2.4% in the past year. Out of all 20 metropolitan areas measured by this index, Washington, D.C., was the only one to see a slight uptick in home prices. During the fourth quarter, home prices fell 3.9% nationwide compared with the third quarter.
(
今天股市被血洗了。 血流成河, 半壁江山一片红, 只有几点绿其中。
大家持币观望吧!
Monday, February 21, 2011
有一件事大家还是要小心
3月4日, 是最后期限。 在这天前能不能达成协议, 就要看两党周旋了, 我们草民小心为上。
看空也没必要,Mall里人跟疯了似的。 还有等风向变了再减仓也来得急, 不就是把吃出来的吐回去么?
谨慎持仓到下周末。 本周就不要加长仓了。四天交易日, 没什么意思。
现在市场比较乱, 消息和影响因素比较多, 也比较复杂,已经超出散户的判断范围。 近期要多看盘, 少操作。 规避风险很重要。 但风险是两方面的。 如果做错了, 就先出去休息下, 也是好的操作技巧。
2012 年预算

Friday, February 18, 2011
涨的太多,太快, 回调的概率就很高。
ridiculous?
http://money.cnn.com/2011/02/17/markets/thebuzz/index.htm
At bottom of this article
----------
Ezrati said he's bullish long-term on the market and economy but conceded
that a short-term correction may be necessary since investors have gotten
too enthusiastic about this year. Blitz agreed.
"For stocks broadly to go higher from here you have to believe the economy
has to accelerate sharply," he said. "But this recovery is a slow process.
Investors may now be minimizing the potential risks."
----------
But My personal opinion : 1320 to 1330 is ok to buy, 1340 ok to hold.
below 1320 is a good buy. Prepare your cash. we have tons of opportunities to load.
Finance and Real estate are good section to buy.
Today's Data 2011-02-18(no major news
Chairman Bernanke defended the Fed's quantitative easing policy amidst criticism that cheap money is fueling inflation and asset bubbles abroad. Bernanke argued in the speech that other nations have plenty of tools to combat overheating and that the U.S. is not to blame for their problems. He also urged countries with large trade surpluses to help correct global imbalances by allowing their exchange rates to better reflect market conditions. The full throated defense of the Fed's polices is further indication that Bernanke has no intention of changing the central bank's easy money stance anytime soon
(no major data today. market is flat)
Above 1340 to me is kind of risky
Thursday, February 17, 2011
today's data 2011-02-17(mixed)
Manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia region jumped higher than expected in February to an index reading of 35.9--its highest level since January 2004--according to the city's Federal Reserve Bank. In January, the index was a mere 19.3, and economists had expected only modest gains in February.
The index of leading economic indicators increased by 0.1% in January, following a 0.8% revised gain in December, said the Conference Board. Six of the 10 recorded indicators increased, with the biggest gains in interest-rate spread and supplier deliveries. Economists predict that the economy will continue to gain momentum in the coming months.
Consumer prices increased by 0.4% last month on a seasonally adjusted basis as energy and food prices increased, reported the Labor Department. The energy and food price increase accounted for more than two thirds of the rise. Prices for shelter rose by 0.1%, while for new vehicles and medical services prices fell by 0.1%. During the last 12 months, overall prices were up 1.6%. Inflation, which excludes energy and food prices and is considered a better measure of price trends by the Federal Reserve, rose by 0.2%.
"I wish it can go lower, but it's kind of wishful thinking. "
however if you miss 1340, then just miss it. it's risk on both way after 1340.
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Today's data 2011-02-16
U.S. industrial production dropped slightly by 0.1% in January following a revised 1.2% increase in December, though the manufacturing sector posted an increase. Capacity utilization also showed a month-to-month drop of 10 basis points to 76.1%. Both readings came in below expectations of gains in production by 0.5% and utilization to 76.3%.
Housing starts in the U .S. increased 14.6% in January to 596,000, seasonally adjusted. The reading was significantly higher than the expected 0.2% gain and also a step up from the downwardly revised drop of 5.1% in December. However, new building permits, which are indicators of future construction, decreased by 10.4%, a sharp decrease from the 15.3% gain posted in December but not as severe as economists had expected.
The producer price index for January increased by a seasonally adjusted 0.8% from December, aided by higher energy prices. Core prices also increased by 0.5% in January, exceeding expectations and also signaling stronger potential for inflation, though pressures currently remain tepid.
Tuesday, February 15, 2011
Today's data 2011-02-15 (good-growing)
U.S. retail sales rose for the seventh straight month in January by 0.3% to $381.57 billion, signaling the strength of consumer spending, says the Commerce Department. Consumer spending accounts for about 70% of the country's demand. Economists are optimistic that continued consumer spending will help boost the economy. Sales for auto and parts rose by 0.5%, by 1.4% for gas stations, and by 1.3% for food and beverage stores.
New York manufacturing activity increased to 15.43 this month from January's reading of 11.92, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's manufacturing survey. Respondents to the survey reported plans to spend more this year on new and labor-saving equipment. Business inventories in the survey more than doubled, as well. The order index, however, saw a slight dip, and shipments plummeted from last month.
(Data is positive. manufacturing and retail industries is growing, whole economics is growing. )
Nothing is afraid of. Let check 1400 this year.
Buy on any dip this week,
keep around 30-40% cash is ok, but more than 50% is too much.
Let's get on the train.
Shake the tree, shake the tree
Monday, February 14, 2011
Sunday Feb 27. 2011 @8PM ET
2011 Oscar Nominees
本届提名名单由2010年获得奥斯卡最佳女配角,《珍爱》的主演莫妮克与美国电影艺术学院的主席汤姆·谢拉克共同宣读。《国王的演讲》、《社交网络》、 《盗梦空间》、《玩具总动员3》 、《大地惊雷》、《黑天鹅》、《127小时》、《冬天的骨头》、《斗士》、《孩子们都好》等十部电影获得最佳影片提名。
最佳影片
《黑天鹅》(Black Swan) 5 娜塔丽·波特曼的《黑天鹅》
《斗士》(The Fighter) 7 《拳击兄弟》
《盗梦空间》(Inception) 8 诺兰的《盗梦空间》
《孩子们都好》(The Kids Are All Right) 4 安妮特·贝宁的《问题不在孩子》
《国王的演讲》(The King's Speech) 12 科林·弗斯的《王的演讲》
《127小时》(127 Hours) 6 鲍尔的《127小时》
《社交网站》(The Social Network) 8 芬奇的《社交网战》
《玩具总动员3》(Toy Story 3) 5 皮克斯的《玩具总动员3》
《大地惊雷》(True Grit) 10 科恩的《大地惊雷》
《冬天的骨头》(Winter's Bone) 4 妮可·基德曼的《爱的拐点》
Today's Data 2011-02-14 -No major data
President Obama released his budget for the 2012 fiscal year this morning. The president seeks to use the $3.73 trillion to balance significant cuts in federal spending with investments in programs to improve the competitiveness of the United States.
(nothing happens. no major data. market is flat after its 3-4% climbing. )
Where is dip? somewhere maybe in this week.
Friday, February 11, 2011
today's data 2011-02-11
Several media sources reported that Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak has resigned and that the Army has taken control of the country's affairs. European stocks rose strongly on the news.
eventually we got our power back.
Thursday, February 10, 2011
If you know SP500 can research 1400+ within a year
Do you want to buy it right now? sp1320 or sp 1330?
what do you think?
my world is BUY. BUY ON any DIP.
better you can all in around 1280-1300. But less than 1320 is not that bad.
Anything based on your goal. 8% in a year is really easy , but less risk.
Today's Data 2011-02-10
Initial jobless claims last week dropped by 36,000 to 383,000--the lowest reading since July 2008--according to the Labor Department. Economists had expected a decrease of only 4,000. Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke, however, predicted before Congress yesterday that it will take at least four years for unemployment to fall below 6.0% from January's 9.0% reading.
Wholesale inventories increased by 1.0% to a seasonally adjusted $430.54 billion in De cember, the Commerce Department reported. Sales increased at a lesser rate by 0.4%. This may indicate an involuntary buildup of goods in warehouses, rather than anticipation of rising demand, economists said. Year-over-year inventories were up 10.5%, and sales jumped 11.6%.
(Great Data : falling initially despite record-low unemployment claims and a higher-than-expected rise in wholesale inventories.
Did you buy on dip? Anyway I did buy some. I start buying, because all around data is good
分批买入, 降低风险。
)
Wednesday, February 9, 2011
Next Monday Lovers' Day
Valentine's Day
Don't forget your lover and your loved one(S)!
Life is short, and not easy.
Don't forget your lover and loved ones.
Live is priceless, Romantic is priceless.
Give them the best you have.
Give them the best you can.
Boo~K your date.
Schedule your event.
Have gift ready.
today's data. 2011-01-09
Meanwhile Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke spoke to the House Budget Committee this morning and stated the dollar appears slightly more attractive compared with some other currencies. The chairman defended the Fed's actions to give the economy a boost and stated such moves are helping in the economic recovery.
( gap up is strong signal for support point. 1305/1307 is very strong point.
it's not that easy to break it down. it maybe take several months to do it.
uptrend is forming.
one word : buy on any dip.
)
Tuesday, February 8, 2011
Today's data, 2011-02-08 mixed
Total job openings decreased 100,000 to 3.1 million in December, says the Labor Department. Private job openings fell 300,000 to 2.6 million in December. Before th e recession began in December 2007, there were 4.4 million jobs. Despite the month-to-month decline, openings have increased by about 21% in the past year.
(Data is mixed. the market hold well. If we image there is a big pull back right now, it's wishful thinking.
we know there is a pull back, but we can not control the timing. the chart and data shows the market is bullish.
after event in earlier this month. I am starting to pretect market from now. I think market can easily goes up 2% from today's close. But as you guys know, I don't have my strong confidence as before. little by little, I will be recovered and more stronger than before.
Welcome to bull side again. )
I will mention my position changes within a day I changed. Right now I stay out of train. and best wishes to you guy make more money in the Rabbit years. I am not jealous, since I know I can beat you easily ")
Nice trade then. See you guys tomorrow.
请你再为我 点上一盏烛光
我不会永远让你失望。
只要你在我身旁! 我就永远不慌张/

Monday, February 7, 2011
no major data today. 2011-02-07
(My personal plan is that the money will sit on market saving account for maybe several months and a year before I feel comfortable.
I missed this time. Sorry for you guys.
I will just be prepared for next opportunity. this is not my trading season.
So please be careful with my comments since I don't have any stock in my account. Easily I will go bear abias )

Friday, February 4, 2011
today's data 2011-02-04(2)
总结一下: Janurary 2011
但是被胜利冲昏头脑, 不冷静, 犯了oversmart 和 over-analyses 的毛病。
更主要的是过于贪婪。 犯了股市大戒。
只是二月份开始就输在了起跑线上。 虽然只少了不到1%的超短期的预测, 但是心里和步调全部被搞乱。 给原本简单的分析加入了很多杂音。 致使对自己的观点产生怀疑。 不够自信。看不清本质所在。 丢失了自己的强项, lost the trend.
二月的主要任务是去处干扰, 慢慢切入。
today's data 2011-02-04
Nonfarm payrolls rose by 36,000 last month as private-sector employers added 50,000 jobs, the Labor Department said. The December number was revised to show an increase of 121,000 jobs, from a previous estimate of 103,000. Economists expected an increase of 136,000 jobs in January.
But many investors didn't want to see a huge improvement, he noted, as such an outcome would have brought on questions about whether the Federal Reserve's stimulus program might be shortened.
In addition, investors rationalized that the payroll number was likely hit by bad weather in January, when storms forced people to stay home.
The unemployment rate, which is obtained from a separate household survey, fell to 9.0% last month. Economists had forecast that the jobless rate would rise to 9.5% from the previous month's 9.4%.
Still, the drop was driven in part by a 504,000 drop in the number of people in the civilian labor force.
Overseas, Egypt girded for a day of massive protest, firming up army positions around demonstrators occupying central Cairo's Tahrir Square and slapping new restrictions on journalists.
从容 淡定.
Thursday, February 3, 2011
Today's data, 2011-02-03
New jobless claims dropped by 42,000 to 415,000 last week, according to the Labor Department, following last week's upwardly revised figure of 457,000. Continuing claims also fell by 84,000 to a seasonally adjusted 3.93 million during the week ended Jan. 22.< br>
U.S. factory goods orders climbed 0.2% to $426.78 billion in December, said the Commerce Department. This is the third increase in four months. Economists had predicted a 0.5% decline. Excluding transportation--which dropped as a result of slumping airplane demand--factory orders rose 1.7%. However, the improving economy is also causing an increase in costs for raw materials, which may feed into consumer inflation and layoffs.
( Good news. Very positive. )
Everything so positive. It confuse me a lot.
Wednesday, February 2, 2011
Today's data , 2011-02-02
However, last month's employment reading was revised downward to 247,000 from 297,000.
Investors will be closely watching the government's report this Friday.
(Data is good. No comments today. we just will watch what happens for this show. )
S&P 500 ended above Key Psychological Level of 1,300 for the First Time since August 2008
S&P 500 INDEX, RTH traded incredibly and closed above the level of 1,300 for the first time in more than two years. After traded much lower on Friday, started with pace on Monday and kept its momentum to trade over yearly highs on Tuesday.
Tuesday, February 1, 2011
I cleaned all my stock shares today.
检查检查这次为什么迷失了方向。
也许只因你在我身旁!
请你再为我 点上一盏烛光
因为我早已迷失了方向
我掩饰不住的慌张
在迫不急待地张望
生怕这一路
是好梦一场
而你是一张无边无际的网
轻易就把我困在网中央
我越陷越深越迷惘
路越走越远越漫长
如何我才能锁住你眼光
情愿就这样
守在你身旁
情愿就这样
一辈子不忘
我打开爱情这扇窗
却看见长夜日凄凉
问你是否会
舍得我心伤
Sorry, I will do much better than before.
See you guys around. let check the market. touch the market, make the market.
Today's data, 2011-02-01. :( Sorry Guys.
The Institute for Supply Management index unexpectedly rose to 60.8% in January from 58.5% in December. This was the 18th consecutive increase and the highest level of the factory manufacturing index since May 2004. Key employment, new orders, and input prices contributed to the gain.
Construction spending fell by 2.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $787.88 billion in December, according to the Commerce Department. All major cate gories saw declines, including residential projects, which dropped by 4.4% to $235.70 billion. Economists had predicted 0.1% increase in the overall index. Construction spending for 2010 was also 10.3% lower than the previous year's reading.