Happy Holidays

The stock markets have come alive again. It is profit taking time now. Happy trading.

today’s data, prepare to next run

 

All datum are prepared for next run. But not ready yet.

but please be ready!

蓄势，  蓄势，蓄势， 待待待待发

Initial unemployment claims fell to the lowest level since May 2008. The number of workers asking for unemployment benefits for the first time fell 19,000 to 366,000, more than the 9,000 decline expected by economists. The continued improvement in this metric is a sign that the labor market is getting better.
Industrial production dropped 0.2% in November as a decline in auto production dragged the metric lower. Supply chain disruptions due to flooding in Thailand were also to blame. Economists had expected production to be flat for the month.
Higher food and energy costs pushed wholesale producer prices up 0.3% last month. Excluding those volatile categories, prices rose just 0.1%. The slow level of inflation could give the Federal Reserve room to further ease monetary policy without worrying about run away price levels.
Both the New York and Philadelphia Federal Reserve Banks reported gains in factory activity. The data also showed that new orders have begun to strengthen and that manufactures are more optimistic about the future.

today’s data

 

Eurozone !!!   Believe it or not. it’s still a major factor. 

看来我们以前讲的年底冲刺没有了。  现在hold 和 buy in的收益远远大于空仓。 我们现在是乘bond涨股票跌的时间， 把bond 换回股票。 慢慢搞有的是时间。 今年目标也下调了。没几天了， 只能力求保八了。

Eurozone fears once again are keeping stocks in the red at midday.
The Ifo Institute today cautioned of extremely high macroeconomic uncertainty in the European Union, causing difficulty in creating economic outlooks. That said, the agency forecasts Germany's 2012 economic growth to slow to 0.4% in 2012 and gross domestic product to drop to a 3.0% increase in 2011 compared with a 3.7% gain in 2010, indicating recessionary risks continue to pressure one of the EU's strongest nations.
Meanwhile, Germany's Bundesbank said it would offer a EUR 45 billion contribution to the International Monetary Fund as part of last week's agreement among EU officials to lift the IMF's loan purse to EUR 200 billion. However, Bundesbank president Jens Weidmann stated that certain conditions must be met--such as not using the money for sovereign debt bailouts of other EU nations--for Germany to complete the loan.
Fears in the eurozone sent the currency below the $1.30 exchange-rate level for the first time in 11 months, indicating that euro debt woes are increasing and that general sentiment of euro-denominated assets continues to dwindle.
In the United States, the Labor Department reported that a 3.6% increase in petroleum prices last month allowed overall November import prices to rise by 0.7%, the largest month-over-month gain in seven months. However, the gain was still less than the expected 1.1% reading, and minus petroleum, prices fell by 0.2% compared with October's tally. The sharp increase last month has some keeping a close eye on inflationary pressures.

今天的数据比较重要

 

比较正面. 就是让大家不要恐慌. 

大盘现在还是比较稳定(区域内).  近几周换上牛股强势股. 减少bond的持有量。

Early optimism came from a better-than-expected Spanish bond auction and improved economic sentiment in Germany for the first time in nine months. However, German chancellor Angela Merkel expressed that she did not support raising the upper limit of the eurozone's bailout fund, the European Stability Mechanism. Merkel is seeking more collaboration--such as linking energy grids--among eurozone members to p ush growth.
In the United States, sequential monthly retail sales increased by 0.2% in November, but they did not match expectations of a 0.5% gain. Electronics and appliance sales showed the largest gain at 2.1%, but sales for food products and services as well as building materials dropped. Economists point to continuing problems with unemployment and Europe as likely contributors to the narrow gains.
Even though retail sales were strong in October, retail inventories for that month were unchanged from September as storeowners showed caution ahead of holiday spending. Overall U.S. business inventories in October increased by 0.8%, meeting expectations. The inventory/sales ratio remained unchanged at 1.27.

风险市场

股市是风险市场，“一赢二平七输”是古今中外股票市场中的正常现象，而且无论熊市还是牛市。“贪婪和恐惧”两个恶魔纠缠着每一个股票投资人，如何控制风险将成为每一个职业投资人的第一课题。“百年大计，安全第一”，想要成为股市赢家，不能靠一时的大盘走牛或天降好运，一定要有持续获利的技巧和能力，以及回避风险的“防弹衣”。

 

年未做得不是很好。 捂着过冬了， 1 到 4 月熊熊还能折腾一会儿。