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Tuesday, April 26, 2011

上涨找支撑, 下跌看压力

一句老话:
上涨找支撑, 下跌看压力. 这样你一般gap down时空仓会多一些, gap up时多仓会多一些

也就是说这样你经常能站在正确的位置上数钱.
要是你能准确地判断高点低点,gap就是你财富的加速器.

 

这也就是我们坚持 1340,  1300, 和1280的原因. 

回头看一切就是

这么简单. 

这么从容淡定. 

 

【 在 blueli (生活很艰难) 的大作中提到: 】
: Do you think the gap down on Monday and the gap up on yesterday can be
: predicted?
: Any explanation?

Thursday, April 21, 2011

冲击! 1340

 

1340 is the battle point. just same as before, the market will inch up before next pull back . 

nothing new.  in short term, 1300 will not be touch again

Wednesday, April 13, 2011

不要被幻像迷惑

 

一切都是幻想。

不是被砍头,就是被斩首。

http://ttnotes.blogspot.com/2011/04/blog-post_03.html

短期牛市已经被确定了。 现在就是黎明前的黑/暗

Saturday, April 9, 2011

10 Dividends to Trust By Anand Chokkavelu, CFA

 

Original link: http://www.fool.com/investing/dividends-income/2011/04/05/10-dividends-to-trust.aspx

Trust. It's almost a quaint word when each day brings us more bad news about the folks running our companies. Another insider trading scandal. Another corporate expense account maxed out at a strip club. Another CEO getting paid eight figures to destroy ten figures of shareholder value.

Perhaps this is why I've noticed a renewed interest in stocks that tangibly show their trustworthiness by regularly returning cold, hard cash to shareholders.

Of course, it doesn't hurt that savings accounts and bonds just aren't paying what they used to. And that dividend payers have a long history of outperforming their non-paying brethren.

Whatever your reason for making dividend stocks a healthy part of your portfolio, I'd like to highlight 10 stocks that not only pay robust dividends now but also have a long history of consistently raising their dividends.

How I chose the 10
I chose these 10 dividend stocks from an already exclusive club of 42 stocks known as the Dividend Aristocrats. Basically, these are the 42 stocks in the S&P 500 that have raised their dividends each and every year for the last quarter century (or longer).

From this group of 42, I chose my favorite dividend stock from each of the 10 major industry groups. I do this both to highlight some individual stocks and to create an intriguing portfolio.

Here are my choices:

Company
Industry
Dividend Yield
Payout Ratio
Forward P/E

McDonald's
Consumer Discretionary
3.2%
48.7%
15.1

Kimberly Clark (NYSE: KMB )
Consumer Staples
4.3%
57.8%
13.2

ExxonMobil
Energy
2.1%
27.9%
11.3

Aflac (NYSE: AFL )
Financials
2.2%
22.8%
8.7

Abbott Labs (NYSE: ABT )
Health care
3.9%
57.7%
10.8

3M (NYSE: MMM )
Industrials
2.4%
36.7%
15.0

ADP
Information Technology
2.8%
56.5%
20.1

Air Products & Chemicals (NYSE: APD )
Materials
2.6%
39.0%
15.4

CenturyLink (NYSE: CTL )
Telecommunication Services
7.1%
92.6%
13.9

Consolidated Edison (NYSE: ED )
Utilities
4.7%
63.4%
14.4

Average
3.5%
50.3%
13.8

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's.

Not surprisingly, there are some serious heavy hitters on this list. Three of the companies -- McDonald's, ExxonMobil, and ADP -- make the list of my 20 favorite companies; Kimberly Clark (Kleenex), Aflac (the insurance-selling duck), Abbott (Pedialyte), and 3M (Post-Its) all have strong brand recognition; Consolidated Edison and CenturyLink's dividends speak to those outside their service areas who would recognize their brand; and the lesser known Air Products & Chemicals holds its own with a 19.2% return on equity.

Together, this group averages a dividend yield of 3.5% -- almost twice the yield of the S&P 500 without much of a price premium (the forward P/E ratio of this group is 13.8 vs. the S&P 500's 13.7).

How to use this list
As I've written many times before in this space, there's nothing wrong with just buying the index. Regularly putting money into an S&P 500 index ETF or mutual fund is a good core position for most portfolios. You'll perform as the market performs, less fees.

To beat the market, though, we have to get more granular. We can buy into the 42 Dividend Aristocrats to make a more dividend-rich portfolio, hone it down further to my list of 10, or pick and choose individual bets from among the 10.

With each granular step, we lose some of the safety of diversification and gain the possible advantage of stock picking. Salt to taste.

Personally, I anchor my stock portfolio with broad indexes like the S&P 500 and trusted mutual funds. Then I layer in individual stock picks I've spent the time to research.

Original link: http://www.fool.com/investing/dividends-income/2011/04/05/10-dividends-to-trust.aspx

Sunday, April 3, 2011

经过四月第一个交易日的确定

 

市场的短期牛市再次确定.  大盘基本上将在1340展开再次的争斗.

1320 基本上已成为大盘的支撑位.     1300 也替换补位了1280.

 

bye! 12XX的时代结束了.  本个quarter的主战区将在1340-1360之间, 不排除再探1300. 但是主战区基本上已上抬到1340以上了.

 

我们将再探再报.

Friday, April 1, 2011

凶猛的第一季结束了, 第二季会表现如何呢?

 

并购潮托起的大盘, 在闪亮的第一季结束后, 会有一个什么样的结局呢?

大盘站上1320后, 1340会有很大的压力, 1300 又会有比较强的支撑。  今天的巨量表明, 市场将会在明天给大家一个指标性的信号。

觉得大盘需要先有个新高,才回调。 但是这只是猜想。

明天的大盘才是这个季度的司南。

我们就跟着感觉走, 紧拉住明天大盘的手。

*跟著感覺走 緊抓住夢的手 腳步越來越輕 越來越快活
儘情揮灑自己的笑容 愛情會在任何地方留我
#跟著感覺走 緊抓住夢的手 藍天越來越近 越來越溫柔
心情就像風一樣自由 突然發現 一個完全不同的我
△跟著感覺走 讓它帶著我 希望就在不遠處等著我 哦~
跟著感覺走 讓它帶著我 夢想的事那裡都會有 哦~

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