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美股投资预测博克-本版讨论不构成任何投资建议,投资者对自己的投资行为负全责,任何讨论均不代表本版立场,投资者应考虑市场的风险及自身承受能力进行合理投资。 Stock recommendations and comments presented on this blog are solely for research or study. They do not represent the authors' suggestion in this blog. Investors should be cautious about any and all stock recommendations and should consider the source of any advice on stock selection. The authors of this blog will not be responsibility with any loss of any investor.
the original article is from http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2009/12/30/the-best-stocks-for-2010.aspx.
I total agree with Akamai Technologies,Costco,Intel
----below quote from Fools ----------------------Take a look at this year's selections and see what you think. At the bottom of each article, you'll have the opportunity to vote whether you believe that stock is the best stock for 2010. Once we've tallied the votes, we'll be back to tell you which ones are best poised for big gains next year.
The Best Stocks for 2010:
There you go, Fools -- vote early and often today!
Put together a fresh montage of Sex and the City set to Empire State of Mind, and you've got the new trailer for Sex and the City 2, which opens this summer. While the plot may look thin, the gals (as ever) look gorge.
The voice-over is promises a lot of plot points ("you haven't seen anything yet", etc.) and we do get some eye candy on the clothes, stretching from NYC to, it seems, Morocco and Egypt, and everyone looks great. Though, we'll admit -- it doesn't really look like there's much of a plot. "Sometimes you just have to get away with the girls"? The preview makes it look like "Sex and the City: The Vacation." That said, did you spy Carrie's old closet? Yes, it's in there, too!
BY Kelly O'Reilly // Wednesday, Dec 23, 2009 at 05:13 ESTIn addition to more hazard-inducing spikes and studs, Topshop's designer collaborations with Ashish, Jonathan Saunders, and more offer rips, corsets, and sweats for spring.
We should have known that Topshop's designer collections for spring would have a more daring edge after we saw the first images of Louise Goldin's spiky heels (surely a crowded-sidewalk hazard if we ever saw one), and Ashish's spring collection taeks a page out of the same playbook, offering up a motorcycle jacket with some seriously intimidating spikes, paired with black sweatpants lined with similar spikes. Overall, it has a certain "Hellraiser" quality, but it's actually Anne Sofie Beck who, according to Nitrolicious, was inspired by horror movies in creating her ripped-and-torn collection. The influences do make sense, especially considering it really does take the concept of "slasher flick" to a new level.
Jonathan Saunders' collection seems almost tame in comparison, though the structured corset top and skirt is worth a second glance, as are some of his other long t-shirt dresses -- simple, but decidedly sexy.
Topshop's in-house line, on the other hand, has been cleverly divided by theme: Parisienne offers striped shirts, bows, and laydlike flats; Saloon manages to combine sexy fringe wtih Western work boots; Meadow is predictably feminine with an edge (think florals and studs); and finally Downtown is slick and futuristic -- offering everything from sweat-harem pants to biker jackets and bodycon dresses.
Rank | Movie Title (click to view) | Studio | Total Gross / Theaters | Opening / Theaters | Open | Close | ||
1 | Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen | P/DW | $402,111,870 | 4,293 | $108,966,307 | 4,234 | 6/24 | 10/15 |
2 | Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince | WB | $301,959,197 | 4,455 | $77,835,727 | 4,325 | 7/15 | 12/17 |
3 | Up | BV | $293,004,164 | 3,886 | $68,108,790 | 3,766 | 5/29 | 11/5 |
4 | The Twilight Saga: New Moon | Sum. | $282,887,000 | 4,124 | $142,839,137 | 4,024 | 11/20 | - |
5 | The Hangover | WB | $277,322,503 | 3,545 | $44,979,319 | 3,269 | 6/5 | 12/17 |
6 | Star Trek | Par. | $257,730,019 | 4,053 | $75,204,289 | 3,849 | 5/8 | 10/1 |
7 | Avatar | Fox | $250,419,951 | 3,461 | $77,025,481 | 3,452 | 12/18 | - |
8 | Monsters Vs. Aliens | P/DW | $198,351,526 | 4,136 | $59,321,095 | 4,104 | 3/27 | 8/27 |
9 | Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs | Fox | $196,573,705 | 4,102 | $41,690,382 | 4,099 | 7/1 | 11/22 |
10 | The Blind Side | WB | $189,917,000 | 3,407 | $34,119,372 | 3,110 | 11/20 | - |
Company | Forward Price-to-Earnings | Enterprise Value-to-Sales | Expected Long-Term Growth |
Intel | 13.8 | 3.1 | 11% |
IBM (NYSE: IBM) | 12.5 | 1.0 | 10% |
Microsoft(Nasdaq: MSFT) | 16.1 | 4.4 | 11% |
Cisco (Nasdaq: CSCO) | 16.8 | 3.3 | 11% |
Qualcomm | 20.7 | 6.4 | 17% |
Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) | 27.2 | 4.5 | 19% |
Adding unexpected touches (a wrapped shirt, a grand exit) and glamorous essentials (red lips, shades).
It's about dressing in fabrics that feel great against your skin.
And it's about choosing more original ways to express your sensuality than by merely donning a micromini.
Our get-sexy looks work for any age or budget: some are after-dark only (shoulder-duster earrings), while others can work for daytime (touchable fabrics, hats).
Here's how to add sizzle to your look without sacrificing your modesty.
1. Wear something ordinary in an unexpected way.
It doesn't have to be a huge statement like wearing a jacket backwards; subtle alterations pack the chicest punch. For example, take a basic man's white shirt (slightly oversized), unbutton it, wrap it so that one side overlaps the over and tuck in.)
2. Do red lipstick.
Pale lips may be trendy, but nothing does the job like red. Use lipliner for a perfect appearance, choose a creamy matte in a red that best suits your skin tone (blue-reds for darker skin tones; orangey hues for olive; true reds for blondes). Use a light hand for the rest of the face because the lips should take center stage.
3. Add a hat.
Nothing attracts attention quite like a hat. First, it takes guts to wear one. Second, it takes panache to carry it off. Combine the two qualities and you get major sex appeal. Stay with classic shapes -- the fedora, the beret -- to make it easier to pull off.
4. Accessorize with shoulder-duster earrings.
Skip every other piece of jewelry, pull your hair back and make sure your makeup stays soft. This look goes great with bare shoulders and updos, too. Definitely an after-dark look.
5. Make it metallic.
Black may be supersexy, but gold, silver, copper and pewter are especially luminous when you're going for vavoom. Look for simple shapes (the story here is the fabric and color, not the line of the outfit) and tones that flatter your skin color. Pass on major jewelry and makeup to let the dress really shine.
6. Adopt an exotic look.
The cheongsam is a classic example of a dress with international allure. Harem pants, sarongs and embroidered items are all borrowed ethnic looks with tons of feminine charm. The mandarin-collar dress from China is flattering, chic and always intriguing.
7. Wear shades.
Perhaps the single sexiest item you can own are a great pair of sunglasses. They add tons of mystery, look cute even on top of your head and actually serve the practical purpose of protecting your eyes.
8. Make a grand exit.
Sexy is all about surprises, so a deceptively simple dress from the front can be a showstopper in the back. Open backs, lace-up backs, great dress trains all make for dramatic effects.
9. Stay soft with touchable fabrics.
Forget everything you've ever heard about hardcore leathers or sparkly sequins being heat-inducing. Cashmere, silky satin, buttery soft suedes are the real scene-stealers. Touchable fabrics not only invite another's touch, they have the added bonus of feeling great against your skin so you feel pampered and sexy.
10. Play peekaboo.
No need to bare your breasts, even with lace. Nude linings, camisoles and slips all keep you covered while the lace itself stays really suggestive.
One of the four major elements of the marketing mix is price. Pricing is an important strategic issue because it is related to product positioning. Furthermore, pricing affects other marketing mix elements such as product features, channel decisions, and promotion.
While there is no single recipe to determine pricing, the following is a general sequence of steps that might be followed for developing the pricing of a new product:
Develop marketing strategy - perform marketing analysis, segmentation, targeting, and positioning.
Make marketing mix decisions - define the product, distribution, and promotional tactics.
Estimate the demand curve - understand how quantity demanded varies with price.
Calculate cost - include fixed and variable costs associated with the product.
Understand environmental factors - evaluate likely competitor actions, understand legal constraints, etc.
Set pricing objectives - for example, profit maximization, revenue maximization, or price stabilization (status quo).
Determine pricing - using information collected in the above steps, select a pricing method, develop the pricing structure, and define discounts.
These steps are interrelated and are not necessarily performed in the above order. Nonetheless, the above list serves to present a starting framework.
Before the product is developed, the marketing strategy is formulated, including target market selection and product positioning. There usually is a tradeoff between product quality and price, so price is an important variable in positioning.
Because of inherent tradeoffs between marketing mix elements, pricing will depend on other product, distribution, and promotion decisions.
Because there is a relationship between price and quantity demanded, it is important to understand the impact of pricing on sales by estimating the demand curve for the product.
For existing products, experiments can be performed at prices above and below the current price in order to determine the price elasticity of demand. Inelastic demand indicates that price increases might be feasible.
If the firm has decided to launch the product, there likely is at least a basic understanding of the costs involved, otherwise, there might be no profit to be made. The unit cost of the product sets the lower limit of what the firm might charge, and determines the profit margin at higher prices.
The total unit cost of a producing a product is composed of the variable cost of producing each additional unit and fixed costs that are incurred regardless of the quantity produced. The pricing policy should consider both types of costs.
Pricing must take into account the competitive and legal environment in which the company operates. From a competitive standpoint, the firm must consider the implications of its pricing on the pricing decisions of competitors. For example, setting the price too low may risk a price war that may not be in the best interest of either side. Setting the price too high may attract a large number of competitors who want to share in the profits.
From a legal standpoint, a firm is not free to price its products at any level it chooses. For example, there may be price controls that prohibit pricing a product too high. Pricing it too low may be considered predatory pricing or "dumping" in the case of international trade. Offering a different price for different consumers may violate laws against price discrimination. Finally, collusion with competitors to fix prices at an agreed level is illegal in many countries.
The firm's pricing objectives must be identified in order to determine the optimal pricing. Common objectives include the following:
Current profit maximization - seeks to maximize current profit, taking into account revenue and costs. Current profit maximization may not be the best objective if it results in lower long-term profits.
Current revenue maximization - seeks to maximize current revenue with no regard to profit margins. The underlying objective often is to maximize long-term profits by increasing market share and lowering costs.
Maximize quantity - seeks to maximize the number of units sold or the number of customers served in order to decrease long-term costs as predicted by the experience curve.
Maximize profit margin - attempts to maximize the unit profit margin, recognizing that quantities will be low.
Quality leadership - use price to signal high quality in an attempt to position the product as the quality leader.
Partial cost recovery - an organization that has other revenue sources may seek only partial cost recovery.
Survival - in situations such as market decline and overcapacity, the goal may be to select a price that will cover costs and permit the firm to remain in the market. In this case, survival may take a priority over profits, so this objective is considered temporary.
Status quo - the firm may seek price stabilization in order to avoid price wars and maintain a moderate but stable level of profit.
For new products, the pricing objective often is either to maximize profit margin or to maximize quantity (market share). To meet these objectives, skim pricing and penetration pricing strategies often are employed. Joel Dean discussed these pricing policies in his classic HBR article entitled, Pricing Policies for New Products.
Skim pricing attempts to "skim the cream" off the top of the market by setting a high price and selling to those customers who are less price sensitive. Skimming is a strategy used to pursue the objective of profit margin maximization.
Skimming is most appropriate when:
Demand is expected to be relatively inelastic; that is, the customers are not highly price sensitive.
Large cost savings are not expected at high volumes, or it is difficult to predict the cost savings that would be achieved at high volume.
The company does not have the resources to finance the large capital expenditures necessary for high volume production with initially low profit margins.
Penetration pricing pursues the objective of quantity maximization by means of a low price. It is most appropriate when:
Demand is expected to be highly elastic; that is, customers are price sensitive and the quantity demanded will increase significantly as price declines.
Large decreases in cost are expected as cumulative volume increases.
The product is of the nature of something that can gain mass appeal fairly quickly.
There is a threat of impending competition.
As the product lifecycle progresses, there likely will be changes in the demand curve and costs. As such, the pricing policy should be reevaluated over time.
The pricing objective depends on many factors including production cost, existence of economies of scale, barriers to entry, product differentiation, rate of product diffusion, the firm's resources, and the product's anticipated price elasticity of demand.
To set the specific price level that achieves their pricing objectives, managers may make use of several pricing methods. These methods include:
Cost-plus pricing - set the price at the production cost plus a certain profit margin.
Target return pricing - set the price to achieve a target return-on-investment.
Value-based pricing - base the price on the effective value to the customer relative to alternative products.
Psychological pricing - base the price on factors such as signals of product quality, popular price points, and what the consumer perceives to be fair.
In addition to setting the price level, managers have the opportunity to design innovative pricing models that better meet the needs of both the firm and its customers. For example, software traditionally was purchased as a product in which customers made a one-time payment and then owned a perpetual license to the software. Many software suppliers have changed their pricing to a subscription model in which the customer subscribes for a set period of time, such as one year. Afterwards, the subscription must be renewed or the software no longer will function. This model offers stability to both the supplier and the customer since it reduces the large swings in software investment cycles.
The normally quoted price to end users is known as the list price. This price usually is discounted for distribution channel members and some end users. There are several types of discounts, as outlined below.
Quantity discount - offered to customers who purchase in large quantities.
Cumulative quantity discount - a discount that increases as the cumulative quantity increases. Cumulative discounts may be offered to resellers who purchase large quantities over time but who do not wish to place large individual orders.
Seasonal discount - based on the time that the purchase is made and designed to reduce seasonal variation in sales. For example, the travel industry offers much lower off-season rates. Such discounts do not have to be based on time of the year; they also can be based on day of the week or time of the day, such as pricing offered by long distance and wireless service providers.
Cash discount - extended to customers who pay their bill before a specified date.
Trade discount - a functional discount offered to channel members for performing their roles. For example, a trade discount may be offered to a small retailer who may not purchase in quantity but nonetheless performs the important retail function.
Promotional discount - a short-term discounted price offered to stimulate sales.
1.乌云盖顶组合 |
在价格出现阳线上涨之后,又出现阴线,且该阴线令价格落到前阳线实体1/2以下。这一组合常在市势已经大涨一段, 甚至创下天价的时候出现,表示市势逆转,随后将为下跌行情。 |
2.孤岛组合 |
一段上涨行情之后,出现一个跳空的阴线,形如孤岛。这一组合,尽管阴线收盘价仍比昨日为高,但已可窥见市场人士心态之虚弱以及前期获利者的操盘手法,表示后市已不看好。 |
3.中流砥柱组合 |
这一组合相对于“乌云盖顶”组合。在价格出现阴线下跌之后,又出现阳线,且该阳线令价格升到前阴线实体1/2以上。 这一组合常在市势已经大跌一段,甚至创下地价的时候出现,表示市势逆转,随后将为上升行情。 |
4.包容组合 |
实体间为阴阳两性,但都是今日的长实体将昨日的小实体完全包容,顶示后市将沿长实体的方向发展。 |
5.孕育组合 |
实体间为阴阳两性,但与包容组合形式相反,它是今日的小实体被昨日的大实体所包容,形似为娘胎所孕,故称为孕育组合。不知与遗传是否有关系,这种孕育组合预示后市的方向往往为母体的方向,即阳孕阴生阳,阴孕阳生阴。 |
6.黎明之星组合 |
这 一组合是在阴线之后,下方先出现一小阳线或小阳十字线,接着再出现跳空上升的一条大阳线。这一组合多出现在市势久跌或久盘之后,这时下方出现的小阳尤如市 场人士心目中那久盼的启明星,随后再出现的有力上升的阳线,表明长夜已经过去,市势迎来光明。所以,黎明之星组合,成为市势反转上升的转点。 |
7.黄昏之星组合 |
这一组合恰与黎明之星组合相反,成为市势反转下跌的转折点。顶部的跳空的十字线在随后出现的跳空下跌的大阴线形成后,终于成为一颗黄昏之星。如果顶部是中长上影的倒T字线,则又形象地称这一组合为“射击之星”。 |
8.三个红小兵组合 |
在低档区出现这种连续三个小阳线上升的组合时,表示市势已经走出长期的下跌阴影,步上反弹上升路途。 |
9.三个黑小卒组合 |
在高档区出现这种连续三个黑小卒下跌的组合时,表示上升市势已经完结,下跌市势已经开始。 |
10.白三鹤组合 |
这种组合确认前容易误认为“三个红小兵”组合,当然,它是其失败型。要想有所把握地区分,主要注意它们出现的区域,即高档区或低档区或行情中途。这种组合是“下跌途中的白三鹤”,形如一支枯枝上飞来的三只小白鹤,一点美好的点缀。 |
11.黑三鸦组合 |
同上理,也容易误认为“三个黑小卒”组合。它是 “上升途中的黑三鸦”,飞临而栖虽无损一枝好春,可也让人生厌。 |
12.跳空缺口组合 |
(A)为下跌之后的向上跳空阳线;(B)为上升之后的向下跳空阴线。跳空造成阳阴线之间出现某种程度的缺口,反映了市场上出现了与当时市势方向相反的有力的逆向能量,令市势骤然反转。 |
13.强调组合 |
强调组合是指两条实体大致相等的同性K线并列平排的组合, 即所谓双红或双黑的组合。 双红组合中, 前以阳线高收,但后开盘便将前阳尽失,不过,最终仍以前阳的高位收市,形成后一并列阳线,这后一阳线是对前一阳线的强烈重复,是对上升方向的再强调、再肯定,故双阳组合出现 ,意味后市看涨。 双黑组合中,前以阴线低收,但后开盘便将前阴尽收,不过,最终仍以前阴的低位收市,形成后一并列阴线,这后一阴线是对前一阴线的强烈重复,是对下跌方向的再强调,再肯定,故双阴组合出现,意味后市看跌。 当双阳出现在低位或双阴出现在高位,以及当强调组合出现在周K线图时,其技术含义更为确切。 |
NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Airline stocks surged Tuesday, lifted by a glowing UBS analyst's note and a second-straight day of falling oil prices.
Also on Tuesday, UBS analyst Kevin Crissey raised his 12-month stock-price targets on American Airlines' parent company, AMR(AMR Quote), as well as Continental Airlines(CAL Quote), Delta Air Lines,(DAL Quote),Southwest Airlines(LUV Quote), and United Airlines parent UAL(UAUA Quote).
Crissey also lifted his 2010 bottom-line expectations for US Airways Group(LCC Quote), whose shares shot higher by 11.5% Tuesday to $5.10.
Among the other names, AMR closed up 6.5% to $8.10; Continental Airlines rose by 4.9% to end at $18.60; Delta Air Lines added 3.5% to $11.80; and Southwest Airlines edged up 1.2% to $11.50.
UAL -- which got the biggest price-target boost from the UBS analyst, to $24 from $15 -- gained 12.2% to $12.90.
Crissey wrote that even if travel demand doesn't continue to strengthen, airline passenger revenue could rise 1.5% in January and 4.5% in February.
-- Reported by Andrea Tse in New York >>See our new stock quote page.
(Nov) (Oct) (Sep)
Sales At Annual Rate 355,000 400,000 393,000
Percent Change -11.3% 1.8 -3.7
Northeast 29,000 30,000 36,000
Midwest 68,000 56,000 68,000
South 179,000 227,000 196,000
West 79,000 87,000 93,000
Median Price 217,400 209,400 213,500
Mean Price 280,300 255,900 289,200
Houses For Sale 235,000 240,000 252,000
Months of Inventory 7.9 7.2 7.7
虽然信贷环境依然不佳,且美国失业率位于10%的高位,但处于历史低点的房价和借贷成本支撑了购房需求。经济正在从衰退中复苏,且首次购房者能够得到8,000美元的税收优惠。
全国地产经纪商协会经济学家Lawrence Yun表示,很明显,许多首次购房者赶在抵税政策结束前买房。
展望未来,该协会预计成屋销量将小幅下降,到了春季则会再度增加。
11月份成屋销量较上年同期增加44.1%。10月份销量修正后为增加9.9%,初步数据为增加10.1%。
联邦住房贷款抵押公司(Freddie Mac, 简称:房地美)的数据显示,11月份30年期住房抵押贷款平均利率为4.88%,低于10月份的4.95%。美国全国地产经纪商协会公布的11月份成屋售价中值为172,600美元,较上年同期的180,300美元下降4.3%,是2007年11月下降4.1%以来成屋售价中值的最小降幅。
截至11月底的待售成屋存量下降1.3%,至352万套。库存空置指标为6.5个月,创近3年来的最低水平,10月份为7.0个月。
从地区分布来看,11月份东北部成屋销量较10月份增加6.6%,中西部销量增加8.4%,南部增加4.8%,西部增加10.6%。
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