Don’t be Bullish or Bearish at this position

 

Where are we?  we are in the middle, it can be start point at next 10% up, also it can the top for next 8% drop, but which will be archived firstly? 

I were and am bearish for this whole year. the house market will be ok, and job market can not be recovered as before. it will be slowly slowly growing up. so the stock market can not be sky high in this whole year. don’t be so ridicules bullish. the stock market can not go straight up.

This year will be finance year. C, JPM, BAC will be the future star.  we will see this for long run. But for short term, it’s your money, your decision. I don’t recommend any individual stock for long term. you need check them by yourself and make your own decision.

“ 偶尔的成功是失败的奶妈妈”。

in short term, sp 1300 will be next target. But please be careful watching the market,
around 1300 may be the turn around point.  1280 need be tested again, maybe several times. so be very careful. the risk is already walking to us.

The very bullish way is market flat here(under 1310, and above 1266) for months(30% chance). 

the bullish way is break 1300 and go straight up(10% chance).

all other scenarios are bearish, especially break 1305 and drop down(more than 50%).

(Every one knows this. I just made this more clear)   I need say it again and again. make your own plan. my personal opinion is only for you to spend my and your(so it’s ours) spare time.

 

今天我很无聊，只是总结一下大牛们的想法，并且自己量化一下。 let’s check it again. right or now?